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handle: 10902/2244
RESUMEN: Este trabajo trata de identificar el tipo de perturbaciones que han sufrido las regiones españolas en las últimas décadas. Para ello, a partir de datos de VAB y precios de cada región, se plantea un modelo representado en forma de espacio de los estados, aplicándose el filtro de Kalman para identificar los componentes no observables. La principal conclusión que se obtiene es que la mayoría de las perturbaciones han sido de carácter simétrico, teniendo las perturbaciones asimétricas un papel destacado en muy pocas comunidades. Asimismo, se concluye que los efectos de los shocks son, en general, duraderos, y que parece que las perturbaciones de oferta prevalecen, aunque muy ligeramente, sobre las de demanda.
ABSTRACT: The aim of this paper is to analyze the nature of potential shocks that have occurred in Spanish regions during the last few decades. Using GAV and price data, this paper addresses this issue empirically by applying the state-space models and the Kalman Filter methodology. The main conclusions are as follows: first, it appears that the shocks that have affected the Spanish regions have been mostly symmetric; second, the effects have been, in general, persistent rather than transitory; and finally, supply shocks have been slightly more frequent than demand shocks.
UME, EMU, State-space models, Regions, Kalman filter, Perturbaciones asimétricas, Modelo de espacio de los estados, Filtro de Kalman, Shocks, Regiones
UME, EMU, State-space models, Regions, Kalman filter, Perturbaciones asimétricas, Modelo de espacio de los estados, Filtro de Kalman, Shocks, Regiones
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