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Análisis de Inditex a través de los flujos de caja

Authors: Amor Palacio, Sara;

Análisis de Inditex a través de los flujos de caja

Abstract

RESUMEN: El principal objetivo de este trabajo es la determinación del valor de Inditex, así como su precio objetivo. Para ello, se han calculado los flujos de caja y conjuntamente, se calculará el Free Cash Flow, el período explicito, el crecimiento previsto, el WACC, el valor de la deuda y el valor del equity. Para poder calcular estos valores, se han utilizado datos reales de la compañía del año 2014 y 2015 como, por ejemplo, el resultado del ejercicio o el saldo de los clientes. A medida que se iban obteniendo dichos datos, se ha podido observar, que esta compañía cuenta con ventajas fiscales o realiza grandes pagos a cuenta, por lo que el impuesto de sociedades es muy inferior al actual en España. Posteriormente, se establecen tres escenarios (pesimista, moderado y optimista) en los cuales se establecen unos crecimientos basados en el incremento del beneficio, para así poder estimar el valor que podrían alcanzar las acciones a futuro. Por último, tras analizar los escenarios individualmente, se hace una breve comparación entre ellos y se obtiene como conclusión que las acciones de la empresa están sobrevaloradas, y, por lo tanto, la mejor opción sería vender las acciones o abstenerse a su compra.

ABSTRACT: The main objective of this work is the determination of the value of Inditex, as well as its target price. For this purpose, the cash flows have been calculated and, together, the Free Cash Flow, the explicit period, the expected growth, the WACC, the value of the debt and the value of the equity will be calculated. In order to calculate these values, actual company data for the years 2014 and 2015 have been used, such as the result of the year or the balance of the customers. As these data were obtained, it has been observed that this company has tax advantages or makes large payments on account, so that the corporation tax is much lower than the current one in Spain. Subsequently, three scenarios (pessimistic, moderate and optimistic) are established in which growth is established based on the growth of the profit, in order to be able to estimate the value that the actions could achieve in the future. Finally, after analysing the scenarios individually, a brief comparison is made between them and it is concluded that the company's shares are overvalued and, therefore, the best option would be to sell the shares or refrain from buying them.

Grado en Administración y Dirección de Empresas

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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