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Impact of Norwegian Krone’s appreciation on Norwegian imports

Authors: Ying, Zhengchao;

Impact of Norwegian Krone’s appreciation on Norwegian imports

Abstract

Currently, the price of oil is approaching its highest point since 2015. Based on the hypothesis that oil prices are cycling into a bull market, it is a natural deduction that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) will appreciate since Norway is one of the most important high-quality oil exporting countries. What will happen to Norway’s economy if NOK appreciates? To answer this question in its entirety, of course, would require a project great in scope. This study attempts to address a small part of the problem: the impact on Norway’s imports from the appreciation of the NOK. In another word, this paper is concerned with the price elasticity of Norway’s general imports. This paper established an economy model to explain the mechanism of how exchange rates affect imports. It also involved empirical research aimed at estimating the coefficient of price elasticity. To avoid the problem of endogeneity, a Vector Error Correction Model (VEC) model was first used, followed by the Granger causality test. It was found that there is one cointegrating relation and real exchange rate is the Granger cause of real import per unit of income. Finally, a model of a single equation Error Correction Model (ECM) was set up.

Keywords

ECM, 330, price elesticity, import, exchange rate

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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