
handle: 10803/146249
Esta tesis adopta modelos DSGE y PVAR para examinar tres preguntas de macroeconomía. El primer capítulo identifica algunas dificultades que enfrentan los modelos DSGE cuando se supone que una fracción de consumidores sea de tipo rule-of-thumb con el fin de replicar la respuesta positiva del consumo a los shocks de gasto público que se observa en los modelos SVAR. El segundo capítulo cuantifica la importancia del canal de turismo para la transmisión internacional de las fluctuaciones cíclicas en la cuenca mediterránea. Se demuestra que, ausentes los flujos de turismo, los efectos sobre el producto en un país mediterráneo sería un cuarto menor. El tercer capítulo examina el impacto de los shocks de austeridad en los mercados laborales de la zona Euro. Encontramos que las respuestas de las variables del mercado laboral difieren entre los países, no obstante multiplicadores de producción similares. Las cuasas parecen estar relacionadas con reformas institucionales y planes de política económica dedicados que fomentan el vínculo entre los impulsos fiscales y del mercado laboral nacional.
This thesis adopts DSGE and PVAR models to examine three questions in macroeconomics. The first chapter singles out some pitfalls that DSGE models face when a fraction of rule-of-thumb consumers is assumed in order to replicate the positive response of consumption to government spending shocks observed in SVAR models. The second chapter quantifies the importance of the tourism channel for the international transmission of cyclical fluctuations to the Mediterranean basin. We show that, absent tourism flows, the output effects in a typical destination country would be one-fourth smaller. The third chapter examines the impact of austerity shocks on labor markets in the euro area. We find that the cross-country responses of labor market variables differ, notwithstanding similar output multipliers, as institutional reforms and dedicated policy plans foster the link between fiscal impulses and the domestic labor market.
Programa de doctorat en Economia, Finances i Empresa
Métodos bayesianos, Modelos DSGE, Modelos SVAR, Bayesian Methods, Business Cycles, Ciclos económicos, 33, DSGE models, Fiscal Policy, SVAR models, Limited Information Estimation, Estimación de información limitada, Políticas fiscales
Métodos bayesianos, Modelos DSGE, Modelos SVAR, Bayesian Methods, Business Cycles, Ciclos económicos, 33, DSGE models, Fiscal Policy, SVAR models, Limited Information Estimation, Estimación de información limitada, Políticas fiscales
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