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Ecos de Economía
Article . 2011
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Optimización de portafolios de pensiones en Colombia: el esquema de multifondos, 2003-2010

Authors: García Mazo, Claudia María; Moreno Martínez, Jilmer Arley;

Optimización de portafolios de pensiones en Colombia: el esquema de multifondos, 2003-2010

Abstract

El objetivo de esta investigación, es encontrar la composición óptima de un portafolio de inversión, de acuerdo con las condiciones propuestas en el nuevo sistema de pensión Multifondos durante junio 2003 a septiembre 2010. El cálculo de medición fue utilizando el modelo de portafolio eficiente de Markowitz. Se encontró que la inversión extranjera puede conllevar a bajos rendimientos comparado con las inversiones locales, debido a la actual revaluación de la moneda. Además, los resultados obtenidos a través del cálculo de la frontera eficiente muestran que aquellos puntos que se refieren a la ley 100, al fondo conservador, al fondo moderado y al fondo agresivo, están por debajo de la frontera, lo que significa que los rendimientos de los Multifondos no son los mejores a pesar de todas las modificaciones hechas en la ley 1328 de 2009. Por último, las FPO deben tomar en cuenta todas las recomendaciones de política hechas por la OCDE, especialmente la asignación estratégica y táctica de activos, debido a que los resultados que se encontraron son poco consistentes.

The aim of this research is to find out an optimal composition of a portafolio investment, according with the conditions proposed in the new Colombian retirement pension system (Multifondos), during June 2003-September 2010. Calculations were done using Markowitz´s efficient portafolio model. It was found that foreign investment might means low returns compared with those made in local market because of the actual local currency revaluation. Furthermore, the results obtained through the efficient frontier calculus show that those points with regard to “la ley 100”, “Fondo conservador, “Fondo moderado”, and “Fondo agresivo” are below the frontier what it means that Multifondos returns are not the best despite of all the modifications made in the Law 1328. Last but not least, the FPO should take into account all policies recommendations made by the OCDE, specially those regarding strategical and tactical asset assignation, due to the absurd results found in this research.

Country
Colombia
Related Organizations
Keywords

G28, G18, Sistema Pensional, Markowitz model, G14, Economic history and conditions, Modelo Markowitz, HC10-1085, portafolio optimization, Economics as a science, Ley 100, HG1-9999, Multifondos, G11, G23, Ley 100, Multifondos, Optimización de Portafolios, HB71-74, Pension system, multifund, Finance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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