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Órdenes de flujo, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio nominal: un ejemplo de redes neuronales para Colombia 2005

Authors: Salcedo Parra, Octavio José; Aguilera Prado, Marco Antonio;

handle: 10614/57

Órdenes de flujo, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio nominal: un ejemplo de redes neuronales para Colombia 2005

Abstract

El presente documento muestra un modelo de Redes Neuronales Artificiales, RNA, para el pronóstico de la tasa de cambio nominal en Colombia, que incluye órdenes de flujo y el diferencial de las tasas de interés como variables de entrada al modelo, hallando relaciones no lineales entre las mismas. Adicionalmente se plantean algunas conclusiones metodológicas a partir de los tradicionales esquemas econométricos para el manejo de las series de tiempo.

The current document shows a model of Artificial Neuronal Networks ANN for the forecast of the rate of nominal exchange rate in Colombia; what includes flow orders and the differential of the interest rates like variables of entrance to the model. We did find nonlinear relations between the same ones. Additionally some method conclusions from the traditional econometrics ways for the handling of the time series were considered.

Country
Colombia
Related Organizations
Keywords

Foreign exchange, Neural networks (Computer science), Cambio exterior, Pronósticos de la economía, Redes neurales (Computadores), Economic forecasting

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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Green