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El homicidio en Barranquilla: una lectura espacial/The homicide in Barranquilla: a spatial reading

Authors: Nestor Fernando Garza Puentes; Universidad del Norte; Leonardo Nieto; Mábel Gutiérrez; Cámara de Comercio de Barranquilla;

El homicidio en Barranquilla: una lectura espacial/The homicide in Barranquilla: a spatial reading

Abstract

R e s ume nEste trabajo presenta una aproximación de corte geográficoy estadístico a la problemática del homicidio en la ciudad deBarranquilla. El estudio se concentra en los patrones espaciales dedifusión del fenómeno, asimismo en un análisis que correlaciona lapresencia de la fuerza pública en la ciudad, medida por la cantidad deComandos de Atención Inmediata (CAI) de la Policía por barrio, conla tasa de homicidio para el período 2002-2008, así como con unavariable espacial de control relacionada con las zonas que alcanzaronmayores tasas que el promedio de la ciudad.El análisis econométrico confirma que la presencia de la fuerzapública reduce la probabilidad de que cada barrio consideradoindividualmente tenga mayores tasas de homicidio; de igual maneraevidencia el carácter marginalmente decreciente de dicha relación yque el homicidio relacionado con atraco es la modalidad que más seve afectada por dicha variable.Los resultados alcanzados permiten simular escenarios de intervenciónque optimicen la presencia de la fuerza pública, asumiendo mínimoscostos.Palabras claves : Violencia, análisis espacial, Barranquilla.Clasificación jel : H40, R00.A b s t r a c tThis document makes a geographical and statistical analysis ofhomicide rates in Barranquilla. The research deals with the spatialdiffusion patterns, as so as the correlation between the police forcepresence measured through CAI (Local Police Stations) by communityand the homicide rate for the period 2002-2008, taking into accounta spatial correlated control variable, namely the zones that reachedover the average violence levels.Econometric analysis confirmed a reduction in the probability thateach community gets over the average violence levels when the policeforce presence increases, and the marginally decreasing type of thisrelation. It was detected that there is a deepest relation between thevariables in the case of the homicide related to stealing.The results are used in a simulation of cost minimizing public forcepresence scenarios.Keywords : Violence, spatial analysis, Barranquilla.Jel codes : H40, R00.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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