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Three essays in panel data econometrics

Authors: Agudze, Komla Mawulom;

Three essays in panel data econometrics

Abstract

This paper contributes to the literature on regional growth-cycles by developing in a Bayesian framework different notion of multivariate cycle synchro- nization and proposing an encompassing model combining three dimensions: panel, Markov-switching and multivariate synchronization. The approach is used to study the chronology of provincial growth-cycles in China’s economy from March 1989 to July 2009. The estimations reveal the importance of a third regime of rapid-growth in growth-cycle dynamics at both the national and provincial levels. The first regime of recession is of two types: classical recession and growth recession. The third regime of rapid-growth is also of two types: catching or bounce back. We obtain evidence of geographical clusters and qualitative differences among growth rates between coastal and interior provinces. Moreover, this retrospective view sheds some lights on China’s ‘new-normal’ of slower growth since early 2010.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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