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El tipo de cambio real dólar-euro y el diferencial de intereses reales

Authors: Paz Rico Belda;

El tipo de cambio real dólar-euro y el diferencial de intereses reales

Abstract

En este trabajo se analiza si existe efecto umbral en la relación entre el tipo de cambio real dólar-euro y el diferencial de intereses reales, durante el período comprendido entre enero de 1984 y diciembre de 2004. Para ello se específica un modelo threshold de tres regímenes y los resultados evidencian que no existe efecto umbral a corto plazo pero sí a largo plazo. El comportamiento no lineal del tipo de cambio real conlleva en el largo plazo una respuesta al diferencial de intereses reales que es diferente fuera que dentro de la banda umbral. Asimismo, el comportamiento del tipo de cambio real sigue un proceso Band-TAR, de tal forma que reacciona igual por arriba que por debajo de la banda al diferencial de intereses reales. Finalmente, dentro de la banda umbral el tipo de cambio real muestra un comportamiento cercano a presentar raíz unitaria, por lo que los shocks monetarios generan desviaciones de su nivel de equilibrio más persistentes que fuera de la banda.

Keywords

Paridad de poder adquisitivo, No linealidad, UNESCO::CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS::Economía internacional::Acuerdos monetarios internacionales, banda umbral, tipo de cambio real, diferencial de intereses reales, paridad de poder adquisitivo, no linealidad Threshold, real exchange rates, real interest differentials, purchasing power parity, nonlinearity., Diferencial de intereses reales, Tipo de cambio real, :CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS::Economía internacional::Acuerdos monetarios internacionales [UNESCO], Banda umbral, jel: jel:C53, jel: jel:F30, jel: jel:F47

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green