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Time-varying betas of the banking sector

Authors: Tomáš Adam; Sona Benecká; Ivo Jánský;

Time-varying betas of the banking sector

Abstract

This paper analyses the evolution of systematic risk of banking industries in eight advanced countries using weekly data from 1990 to 2012. The estimation of time-varying betas is done by means of a Bayesian state space model with stochastic volatility, whose results are contrasted with those of the standard M-GARCH and rolling-regression models. We show that both country specific and global events affect the perceived systematic risk, while the impact of the latter differs largely across countries. Finally, our results do not support the previous findings that systematic risk of the banking sector was underestimated before the last financial crisis.

Keywords

ddc:330, Stochastic Volatility, Bayesian State Space Models, Time-varying Beta, CAPM, CAPM, Time-varying Beta, Multivariate GARCH, Bayesian State Space Models, Stochastic Volatility, Multivariate GARCH, G21, G12, C11, jel: jel:C11, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:G21

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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