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A nonlinear alternative to the unit root hypothesis

Authors: Eklund, Bruno;

A nonlinear alternative to the unit root hypothesis

Abstract

This paper considers testing the unit root hypothesis against a smooth transition autoregressive model as the alternative. The model specification makes it possible to discriminate between nonstationary random walk and stationary nonlinear processes. Some new limit results are presented, extending earlier work, and two F type tests are proposed. Small sample simulations show some size distortions, why a bootstrap method for estimating p-values to the tests are considered. Power simulations show some gain in power, compared to the common Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests. Finally, the two proposed F type tests are applied on a number of real exchange rates. For several of the exchange rates considered the linear unit root is rejected in favor of the stationary nonlinear model, supporting the purchasing power parity hypothesis.

Keywords

Smooth transition autoregressive model, unit root, critical values, ddc:330, nonlinearity, real exchange rates, Monte Carlo simulations, C52, Smooth transition autoregressive model; nonlinearity; unit root; Brownian motion; bootstrap; critical values; Monte Carlo simulations; real exchange rates, Brownian motion, bootstrap, C22, F31, jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:F31, jel: jel:C22

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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