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Adaptive rate-optimal detection of small autocorrelation coefficient

Authors: Alain Guay; Emmanuel Guerre; Stepana Lazarova;

Adaptive rate-optimal detection of small autocorrelation coefficient

Abstract

A new test is proposed for the null of absence of serial correlation. The test uses a data-driven smoothing parameter. The resulting test statistic has a standard limit distribution under the null. The smoothing parameter is calibrated to achieve rate-optimality against several classes of alternatives. The test can detect alternatives with many small correlation coefficients that can go to zero with an optimal adaptive rate which is faster than the parametric rate. The adaptive rate-optimality against smooth alternatives of the new test is established as well. The test can also detect ARMA and local Pitman alternatives converging to the null with a rate close or equal to the parametric one. A simulation experiment and an application to monthly financial square returns illustrate the usefulness of the proposed approach.

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Keywords

adaptive rate-optimality, Statistischer Test, absence of serial correlation, ddc:330, data-driven nonparametric tests, Absence of serial correlation; Data-driven nonparametric tests; Adaptive rate-optimality; Small alternatives; Time series, Absence of serial correlation, data-driven nonparametric test, adaptive rate-optimality, small alternatives, time series, small alternatives, Autokorrelation, Zeitreihenanalyse, time series, C32, Theorie, C12, jel: jel:C12, jel: jel:C32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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