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EconStor
Research . 2019
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Preferred habitat, policy, and the CIP puzzle

Authors: Wohlfarth, Paul;

Preferred habitat, policy, and the CIP puzzle

Abstract

A crucial no-arbitrage condition on foreign exchange markets, covered interest\ud parity (CIP), held almost exaclty before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and\ud failed since then. CIP deviations have been particularly puzzling in relatively calm\ud markets after 2014. This paper explains deviations from CIP, measured by the\ud cross-currency basis from swaps (CCBS), in terms of significant policy and volatility\ud effects in a preferred habitat model of the Eurodollar swap market. Estimation is\ud done using EGARCH in mean for a set of CCBS maturities. The term structure of\ud the CCBS is further analysied in a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM).

Keywords

ddc:330, G15, Macro Finance, ems, E44, Preferred Habitat, G12, E5, International Finance, International Monetary Economics, E43, F31, Foreign Exchange Markets

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green