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Markov or not Markov - this should be a question

Authors: Bode, Eckhardt; Bickenbach, Frank;

Markov or not Markov - this should be a question

Abstract

Although it is well known that Markov process theory, frequently applied in the literature on income convergence, imposes some very restrictive assumptions upon the data generating process, these assumptions have generally been taken for granted so far. The present paper proposes, resp. recalls chi-square tests of the Markov property, of spatial independence, and of homogeneity across time and space to assess the reliability of estimated Markov transition matrices. As an illustration we show that the evolution of the income distribution across the 48 coterminous U.S. states from 1929 to 2000 clearly has not followed a Markov process.

Keywords

Markovscher Prozess, Statistischer Test, Regionale Entwicklung, ddc:330, O40, R11, Regionale Einkommensverteilung, Convergence, Markov process, chi-square tests, U.S. regional growth, Markov process, chi-square tests, Entwicklungskonvergenz, Convergence, U.S. regional growth, Theorie, USA, C12, Schätzung, jel: jel:C12, jel: jel:O40, jel: jel:R11

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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