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Global economy: Advanced economies facing a strong upturn

Authors: Michelsen, Claus; Baldi, Guido; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Engerer, Hella; Pasch, Sandra;

Global economy: Advanced economies facing a strong upturn

Abstract

Global recovery is progressing more slowly than was indicated in 2020 due to high coronavirus rates and related economic restrictions in Europe and Japan. Recently, a disparate picture has been forming: In the advanced economies, declining infection rates and continued progress in vaccination campaigns will presumably lead to a revival that will be especially noticeable in the retail and service sectors while the manufacturing industries will lag behind in the short-term due to high raw material prices. In some emerging economies, in contrast, recently skyrocketing coronavirus rates and a lack of vaccine doses are likely to hinder recovery before the situation improves. Overall, the growth rate should increase in the second half of 2021 so that the outlook for the global economy remains nearly unchanged: DIW Berlin estimates growth of 6.7 percent for 2021 and growth of 4.9 percent for 2022. The USA, euro area, and China are delivering positive momentum to this growth, as they have remained spared from a further wave of the virus.

Keywords

ddc:330, E66, Business cycle forecast, F01, economic outlook, E32

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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