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CES Working Papers
Article . 2014
Data sources: DOAJ
EconStor
Article . 2014
License: CC BY
Data sources: EconStor
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THE GEOPOLITICS OF HELPLESSNESS

Authors: Tiberiu Brailean;

THE GEOPOLITICS OF HELPLESSNESS

Abstract

The events in Ukraine are in the thick of actuality, at the crossroads of East and West. From a buffer zone it has become an acute space of exhibition of Russia’s interests, on one side, and of the European Union’s, on the other side. As the EU does not have a unique army or a strong political leadership, the presence - as major actors - of NATO and the United States of America is necessary. Huge geostrategic, military, economic, politic, cultural, social and even religious interests are involved. As a neighbour state, member of the EU and NATO, Romania is directly concerned by the present deployments. We wonder if its foreign politics is an appropriate one. Moreover, great stakes aim at the statehood and independence of the Republic of Moldova, but also at the status of the Romanians living in the Cernowits region. Thus, we try to analyse what will happen in Ukraine and with the actors involved, in general. There are several possible scenarios, among which: the success of the elections and the stabilization of Ukraine in integrum; the federation, with the preservation of the frontiers or with the amputation of these ones; Russia’s conquest of the country, taking into account EU’s demonstrated incapacities; a war that can dangerously escalate; the maintenance of a grey situation, whre the two camps explore each other, sanction each other, but not too drastically, elections and referendums are organized, weapons are pacing around, threats are teething, but nothing important is decided, not even a new cold war. The title hints to everyon’s weaknesses (is Ukraine a selfsustainable state?), but especially to EU’s, the geopolitical objectives of which are in complete disagreement with its means. That is why, in a short term, Russia can win. But in a medium and long term...

Keywords

NATO, Actors; Ukraine, sustainability challenges, Turkey, Turkey; geopolitics; geo-economics; sustainability challenges; interests; objectives; resources; scenarios for the future., interests, geopolitics, the European Union, Russia, The Republic of Moldova, JF20-2112, The European Union, Actors (Ukraine, the European Union, Russia, NATO, Romania. the Republic of Moldova, Poland, Turkey, etc.); geopolitics; geo-economics; sustainability challenges; interests; objectives; resources; scenarios for the future Romania, F51, Romania. the Republic of Moldova, etc.); geopolitics; geo-economics; sustainability challenges; interests; objectives; resources; scenarios for the future., ddc:330, Romania, scenarios for the future Romania, Actors, geo-economics, objectives, Poland, Political institutions and public administration (General), Ukraine, resources, jel: jel:F51

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold