Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

The twin deficits hypothesis: Evidence from Ghana

Authors: Senadza, Bernardin; Aloryito, Godson Korbla;

The twin deficits hypothesis: Evidence from Ghana

Abstract

Purpose - This paper investigates the twin deficit hypothesis for Ghana in view of the persistent co-movement between the budget deficit (BD) and current account deficit (CAD) over the past three decades. Design/methodology/approach - The paper uses annual data for the period 1980-2014 and ascertains whether there is long-run association between the budget and current account deficits using the Johansen Cointegration test. The Error Correction Model is estimated to check stability of the long-run association between the two deficits. A Granger causality test is performed to determine the direction of causality between the two variables. Findings - The results confirm the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between the budget and current account balances. The error correction model finds an insignificant effect of the BD on the CAD both in the short and long runs. The ECM result was however significant for both the long run and short run regarding the effect of CAD on BD even as the adjustment parameter suggests that 33 percent of the disequilibrium in budget balance in the previous period is corrected in the current period. Granger causality results find support for the reverse causality argument, thereby rejecting the twin-deficits hypothesis for Ghana. Research limitations/implications - For lack of consistent data variables such as exchange rate and interest rate were not included in the study. Originality/value - The findings lend support to the reverse causality argument that says that causality runs from the current account deficit to the budget deficit.

Keywords

H6, F3, Twin deficits hypothesis, ddc:330, budget deficit, Granger causality, current account deficit, Ghana, F41

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!