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A Macroecnomic Model of CETA's Impact on Austria

Authors: Breuss, Fritz;

A Macroecnomic Model of CETA's Impact on Austria

Abstract

The Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) between the European Union (EU) and Canada is the most ambitious (New generation) free trade agreement the EU has ever negotiated. It is a “mixed” agreement with EU and member states competences. Most elements of the agreement for which the EU has "exclusive competence", including the chapter on tariffs and non-tariff barriers (the dismantling of all barriers to trade in goods and services and market access to foreign direct investment) can – after the European Parliament gave its consent on 15 February 2017 - be applied provisionally in Spring 2017. With a specifically constructed macro-economic trade and growth model for Austria, we simulate the impact of CETA on Austria. CETA will add to Austria’s real GDP 0.3 percentage points in the medium run and will stimulate bilateral trade and FDI. Our model is a small prototype model and can easily be applied to other FTAs the EU is planning. A comparison shows that TTIP – which is “politically” dead now – would have the biggest impact (1.7% more real GDP).The almost finished negotiated EU-Japan FTA would result in an increase of Austria’s real GDP by 0.4% in the medium run.

Country
Austria
Related Organizations
Keywords

open-economy macroeconomics, 506004 Europäische Integration, ddc:330, F14, 502018 Macroeconomics, F15, F17, 502046 Volkswirtschaftspolitik, 502018 Makroökonomie, 502046 Economic policy, 506004 European integration, Free trade agreement, F10, European Union, 502003 Foreign trade, 502003 Außenhandel

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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