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Dry law and homicides: evidence from the São Paulo metropolitan area

Authors: Biderman, Ciro; Mello, João Manoel Pinho de; Schneider, Alexandre Alves;

Dry law and homicides: evidence from the São Paulo metropolitan area

Abstract

Over the last 15 years, several Latin American cities have adopted dry laws, which restrain the sale of alcohol in bars and restaurants during specific hours of the week. Bogotá, in 1991, was the first. Several more have followed suit, or are likely to do so in the near future. Policy makers and the general press have argued that these measures reduce crime. In this paper, we use a particular feature of the adoption of laws in the São Paulo Metropolitan Area (SPMA) to estimate the effect of dry laws on the ultimate form of violent crime: murder. Between March 2001 and August 2004, 16 out of the 39 municipalities of the SPMA have adopted, at different dates, dry laws. By comparing the dynamics of homicide between adopting and non-adopting cities, we estimate that dry laws reduce homicides by at least 10%, with an even higher effect in high crime cities. Results are robust to inclusion of a large set of controls, to propensity score matching, to outliers, and to correction possible spillover effects from adopting to non-adopting cities.

Country
Brazil
Related Organizations
Keywords

Difference-in-differences, ddc:330, Sao Paulo (Stadt), Kriminalitätsökonomik, Administração pública, Região Metropolitana de, Difference-in-Difference, Criminalidade urbana - São Paulo, Crime - São Paulo, Alcoolismo e crime, Kriminalität, Alkoholpolitik, Crime, Dry Law, Alcohol, Crime, Difference-in-Difference, Alcohol, Dry law, Dry Law

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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