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DOAJ
Article . 2015
Data sources: DOAJ
EconStor
Research . 2015
License: CC BY
Data sources: EconStor
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Testing for Unit Roots with Cointegrated Data

Authors: W. Robert Reed;

Testing for Unit Roots with Cointegrated Data

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that unit root tests can suffer from inflated Type I error rates when data are cointegrated. Results from Monte Carlo simulations show that three commonly used unit root tests - the ADF, Phillips-Perron, and DF-GLS tests - frequently overreject the true null of a unit root for at least one of the cointegrated variables. The reason for this overrejection is that unit root tests, designed for random walk data, are often misspecified when data are cointegrated. While the addition of lagged differenced (LD) terms can eliminate the size distortion, this "success" is spurious, driven by collinearity between the lagged dependent variable and the LD explanatory variables. Accordingly, standard diagnostics such as (i) testing for serial correlation in the residuals and (ii) using information criteria to select among different lag specifications are futile. The implication of these results is that researchers should be conservative in the weight they attach to individual unit root tests when determining whether data are cointegrated.

Related Organizations
Keywords

cointegration, ddc:330, C18, Unit root testing, cointegration, DF-GLS test, Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, Phillips-Perron test, simulation, Social Sciences, Phillips-Perron test, simulation, H, unit root testing,cointegration,DF-GLS test,augmented Dickey-Fuller test,Phillips-Perron test,simulation, Economics as a science, augmented Dickey-Fuller test, DF-GLS test, C32, HB71-74, C22, unit root testing, jel: jel:C32, jel: jel:C22, jel: jel:C18

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
bronze