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EconStor
Research . 2014
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News media sentiment and investor behavior

Authors: Kräussl, Roman; Mirgorodskaya, Elizaveta;

News media sentiment and investor behavior

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of news media sentiment on financial market returns and volatility in the long-term. We hypothesize that the way the media formulate and present news to the public produces different perceptions and, thus, incurs different investor behavior. To analyze such framing effects we distinguish between optimistic and pessimistic news frames. We construct a monthly media sentiment indicator by taking the ratio of the number of newspaper articles that contain predetermined negative words to the number of newspaper articles that contain predetermined positive words in the headline and/or the lead paragraph. Our results indicate that pessimistic news media sentiment is positively related to global market volatility and negatively related to global market returns 12 to 24 months in advance. We show that our media sentiment indicator reflects very well the financial market crises and pricing bubbles over the past 20 years.

Countries
Germany, Luxembourg
Keywords

MMFs, 330, 070, ddc:330, financial crisis, shadow banking, : Finance [B03] [Business & economic sciences], securities, SEC, Investor behavior,News media sentiment,Financial market crises,Pricing bubbles,Framing effects,MMFs,SEC,securities,net asset value,financial crisis,shadow banking,systemic risk,financial crisis, Investor behavior, News media sentiment, Framing effects, net asset value, systemic risk, Pricing bubbles, G10, : Finance [B03] [Sciences économiques & de gestion], G01, Financial market crises, E32, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:G01, jel: jel:G10, ddc: ddc:330

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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