Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Universidade de Lisb...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Notas Económicas
Article . 2022
License: CC BY
Data sources: IMPACTVM
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
UTL Repository
Article . 2022
Data sources: UTL Repository
versions View all 3 versions
addClaim

Fiscal Sustainability in the PALOP Economies

Sustentabilidade Fiscal nas Economias PALOP
Authors: Afonso, António; Leão, Emanuel Reis; Tiny, Dilson; Bhimjee, Diptes C. P.;

Fiscal Sustainability in the PALOP Economies

Abstract

A Crise Financeira Global conduziu a um aumento significativo das posições fiscais (isto é, défices orçamentais e dívida pública mais elevados), dando origem a inúmeras pesquisas académicas relativas à sustentabilidade fiscal. Muito embora existam bastantes estudos sobre a sustentabilidade fiscal nas economias mais avançadas, a nossa contribuição académica amplia este esforço de investigação ao continente Africano. Mais especificamente, analisamos a sustentabilidade das finanças públicas nos Países Africanos de Língua Oficial Portuguesa (PALOP’s), através da aplicação de testes de estacionaridade aos rácios de dívida externa em percentagem do PIB, bem como a aplicação de testes de cointegração às receitas e despesas públicas (em percentagem do PIB) destes Países. Os nossos resultados empíricos para o período 1975-2019 sugerem que alguns PALOP apresentam uma posição fiscal comprometida do ponto de vista da sustentabilidade fiscal. Com efeito, a condição de solvência apenas é observada para o caso Angolano. Tendo em consideração o impacto económico-financeiro da presente situação pandémica, a questão da sustentabilidade fiscal irá constituir um relevante desafio futuro.

The Global Financial Crisis has typically led to a significant widening of fiscal positions (i.e. higher budget deficits and public debt), an issue that has been addressed by many researches on fiscal sustainability. Our aim in this study is to extend the extensive knowledge about fiscal policy sustainability in advanced economies by analysing the sustainability in the African continent. In particular, we examine the sustainability of public finance in Portuguese-speaking African countries (PALOP), using stationarity tests of external public debt-to-GDP ratios and cointegration tests between public revenue and public expenditure (as a percentage of GDP). Our findings for the period 1975-2019 suggest that some of the PALOP countries have endangered the sustainability of their corresponding fiscal positions. In fact, in our sample the solvency requirement seems to have been met only by Angola. In the context of a financial crisis, stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic, such sustainability issues are bound to be further challenged.

Country
Portugal
Keywords

Stationarity, cointegration, Cointegration, cointegração, Debt Sustainability, Global Financial Crisis, crise financeira global, PALOP, Time Series, Debt sustainability, estacionariedade, política fiscal, Fiscal Policy, stationarity, Sustentabilidade da dívida, séries cronológicas, time series, global financial crisis, fiscal policy

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    OpenAIRE UsageCounts
    Usage byUsageCounts
    visibility views 52
    download downloads 32
  • 52
    views
    32
    downloads
    Powered byOpenAIRE UsageCounts
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
visibility
download
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
downloads
OpenAIRE UsageCountsDownloads provided by UsageCounts
0
Average
Average
Average
52
32
Green
Published in a Diamond OA journal
Related to Research communities