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Volatilidade implícita: Importância na valorização das opções financeiras e significado dos índices de volatilidade implícita

Authors: Rodrigues, Carina Sofia Fernandes;

Volatilidade implícita: Importância na valorização das opções financeiras e significado dos índices de volatilidade implícita

Abstract

Dada a actual conjuntura dos mercados financeiros, onde uma forte incerteza predomina no dia-a-dia dos investidores, torna-se cada vez mais importante conseguir prever comportamentos e tomar decisões que minimizem os riscos de desvalorização de investimentos e consequentes perdas, por vezes difíceis de recuperar. É neste contexto que surge a volatilidade. Este conceito tem tido crescente importância, pois constitui um indicador dos sentimentos que reinam nos principais mercados financeiros: ansiedade, satisfação ou insatisfação, pânico, entre outros. Neste sentido, escolheu-se a volatilidade para objecto desta dissertação. A primeira parte, de carácter teórico, tem como objectivo contextualizar o estudo, compreender conceitos e preparar os utilizadores deste estudo para a segunda parte que é mostrar a evolução dos índices de volatilidade implícita e verificar se os mesmos têm significado estatístico. Concluiu-se que a relação observada entre o índice de acções e o respectivo índice de volatilidade implícita é estatisticamente significativa.

Given the actual conjuncture of the financial markets and their constant uncertainty, it has become plus important being able to predict behaviors and make decisions which minimize risks and consequent losses, sometimes difficult to recover. It’s in this context that volatility arises. This concept shows a growing importance because it’s an indicator that allows investors to assess the existing feelings exist in the principal financial markets: anxiety, satisfaction or dissatisfaction, panic, among others. For this, volatility has been chosen to be the subject of this study. The theoretical part, has the goal of contextualizing the study, understanding concepts and prepare the users of this dissertation to the second part which is to show implied volatility indices evolution and verify if they have statistical significance. We concluded that the relation observed between the stock index and its implied volatility index has statistical significance.

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Portugal
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Keywords

Nível de significância, Finantial options, Índices de volatilidade implícita, Black-Scholes model, Volatilidade implícita, Correlação, Implied volatility indices, Significance, Modelo Black-Scholes, Opções financeiras, Correlation

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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