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Estudo sobre a memória longa na volatilidade das rendibilidades do índice Nasdaq 100: uma abordagem com base nos modelos tipo Arch

Authors: Santos, Rodrigo Filipe Jorge;

Estudo sobre a memória longa na volatilidade das rendibilidades do índice Nasdaq 100: uma abordagem com base nos modelos tipo Arch

Abstract

Este trabalho irá abordar a temática da memória longa na volatilidade do índice NASDAQ e como é do conhecimento geral, o índice NASDAQ é um dos índices com maior volume de transações e onde o estudo da volatilidade é uma das ferramentas estatísticas muito importantes para os agentes económicos que operam com este índice. Dessa forma vou aplicar os modelos de volatilidade condicionada – para o período compreendido entre 10/01/2000 a 20/11/2015, com recurso à Base de dados Datastream, onde são imprescindíveis para analisar se existe ou não o efeito de memória longa na volatilidade do índice NASDAQ 100. Decorrente da revisão da literatura é espectável que o modelo que melhor traduz a existência de memória longa, para o caso que me proponho estudar seja, o modelo GARCH; IGARCH; e FIGARCH, variantes do modelo ARCH. Neste contexto, ao basear-me no princípio da análise risco/retorno que corresponde a um dos critérios com maior relevância no processo de tomada de decisão por parte dos investidores, nesta dissertação pretendo analisar a existência de memória longa num dos maiores índices de ações do mundo, o índice NASDAQ, num dado período de tempo.

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Portugal
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Keywords

International Market, Technological Index, Volatility, Mercado internacional, Índice tecnológico, Volatilidade, Memória longa, FIGARCH, ARCH, Long Memory

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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