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Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTA
Bachelor thesis . 2022
License: CC BY NC SA
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Predicción de retornos en activos financieros

Authors: Covelo Beloso, Eugenia;

Predicción de retornos en activos financieros

Abstract

En el presente trabajo se exponen algunos procedimientos estadísticos utilizados para la predicción de los retornos en activos financieros. En el Capítulo 1 se introducen una serie de conceptos relacionados con el análisis de las series temporales y más detalladamente con las series de retornos. En segundo lugar, en los Capítulos 2 y 3 se definen los modelos ARIMA Box-Jenkins y los modelos de heterocedasticidad condicional, respectivamente. La predicción de los retornos se hace combinando estos dos modelos, los primeros para predecir el promedio de la serie y los segundos para predecir la varianza condicional. Por último, como puesta en práctica de la teoría descrita a lo largo del trabajo, en el Capítulo 4 se realiza una predicción utilizando datos reales de una serie de retornos.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green