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Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTA
Bachelor thesis . 2021
License: CC BY NC SA
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Predicción de activos financieros

Authors: Ferreiro Arias, Rubén;

Predicción de activos financieros

Abstract

[ES] Este Trabajo de Fin de Grado muestra un análisis detallado de las series de tiempo financieras y de las herramientas y procesos necesarios para su correcta modelización. La primera parte de la memoria presenta los conceptos fundamentales de las series de tiempo e introduce las series estacionarias y las series de rendimientos utilizadas en el ámbito financiero. Tras fijar los conceptos básicos, el estudio profundiza en las series con dinámica en la media y la modelización de estas con procesos autorregresivos y de medias móviles. De igual manera, el trabajo analiza series de tiempo condicionalmente heterocedásticas, esto es, con dinámica en la varianza, en las que la volatilidad es el aspecto central a estudiar. Esta memoria tiene como principal objetivo obtener predicciones precisas de valores futuros para las series de tiempo presentadas, correspondientes tanto a datos macroeconómicos como bursátiles. Se estudian datos previos al COVID-19, obteniendo conclusiones de la posible evolución económica y financiera que habría tenido lugar de no haberse visto interrumpida por la pandemia.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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