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China, Estados Unidos y el futuro de Bretton Woods II

China, the United States and the future of Bretton Woods II
Authors: Steinberg Wechsler, Federico;

China, Estados Unidos y el futuro de Bretton Woods II

Abstract

Este artículo analiza las posibilidades de continuidad del equilibrio financiero que ha sido bautizado como Bretton Woods II y que tiene como centro las relaciones económicas entre China y Estados Unidos. Si se mantienen las políticas actuales los desequilibrios macroeconómicos globales volverán a reproducirse, lo que tendrá serias implicaciones para la gobernanza económica global porque una de las principales causas de la crisis financiera internacional que estalló en 2008 fueron estos desequilibrios. Las dos posibles salidas traumáticas de Bretton Woods II se producirían si China diversificara sus reservas (lo que podría generar una crisis del dólar) y si Estados Unidos impusiera aranceles unilaterales a China (lo que podría debilitar el sistema multilateral de comercio). Ambas opciones tendrían un impacto negativo sobre el crecimiento y la estabilidad de la economía mundial.____________________________________This paper examines the future prospects of the financial regime that has been dubbed Bretton Woods II and which has at its core commercial and financial relations between China and the United States. If there are no changes in current economic policies global macroeconomic imbalances will grow again. This has serious implications for global economic governance as one of the main causes of the international financial crisis were those imbalances. The two possible traumatic exit options for the Bretton Woods II regime are that China diversifies its reserves (which could trigger a dollar crisis) and that the United States imposes unilateral tariffs on China (which could weaken the multilateral trading system). Both options would have a negative impact on the growth and stability of the global economy.

Country
Spain
Related Organizations
Keywords

China, Cooperación, Financial Crisis, Estados Unidos, Dólar, Crisis financiera, Reservas, Interdependencia

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green