
handle: 10272/4854
Este artículo analiza las posibilidades de continuidad del equilibrio financiero que ha sido bautizado como Bretton Woods II y que tiene como centro las relaciones económicas entre China y Estados Unidos. Si se mantienen las políticas actuales los desequilibrios macroeconómicos globales volverán a reproducirse, lo que tendrá serias implicaciones para la gobernanza económica global porque una de las principales causas de la crisis financiera internacional que estalló en 2008 fueron estos desequilibrios. Las dos posibles salidas traumáticas de Bretton Woods II se producirían si China diversificara sus reservas (lo que podría generar una crisis del dólar) y si Estados Unidos impusiera aranceles unilaterales a China (lo que podría debilitar el sistema multilateral de comercio). Ambas opciones tendrían un impacto negativo sobre el crecimiento y la estabilidad de la economía mundial.____________________________________This paper examines the future prospects of the financial regime that has been dubbed Bretton Woods II and which has at its core commercial and financial relations between China and the United States. If there are no changes in current economic policies global macroeconomic imbalances will grow again. This has serious implications for global economic governance as one of the main causes of the international financial crisis were those imbalances. The two possible traumatic exit options for the Bretton Woods II regime are that China diversifies its reserves (which could trigger a dollar crisis) and that the United States imposes unilateral tariffs on China (which could weaken the multilateral trading system). Both options would have a negative impact on the growth and stability of the global economy.
China, Cooperación, Financial Crisis, Estados Unidos, Dólar, Crisis financiera, Reservas, Interdependencia
China, Cooperación, Financial Crisis, Estados Unidos, Dólar, Crisis financiera, Reservas, Interdependencia
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