
handle: 10261/401289
Uncertainty poses a significant challenge to the reliability and interpretability of systems biology models. This review focuses on reducible epistemic uncertainty arising from incomplete data, measurement errors, or limited biological knowledge. We examine how this uncertainty affects both mechanistic models —such as dynamic kinetic and genome-scale metabolic models— and data-driven models, including neural networks trained on time-series data. Strategies for quantifying and mitigating uncertainty are reviewed, including profile likelihoods, Bayesian inference, ensemble modelling, optimal experimental design and active learning. Through illustrative case studies, we show how data limitations, model structure, and experimental design influence uncertainty propagation and model predictions. Finally, in our outlook, we highlight key research avenues to build more robust models, including hybrid frameworks combining mechanistic models with machine learning to improve interpretability and predictive performance, advances in inference methods and tools, or the definition of benchmarks to support reproducibility and method comparison
This work has received funding from MCIU/AEI/FEDER grant reference: PID2021-126380OB-C32; Xunta de Galicia (IN607B 2023/04). EBC & GR acknowledge funding from EU Horizon 2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 956126. EBC & ARM also acknowledge funding from the EU-Next Generation, in the framework of the General Invitation of the Spanish Government's public business entity Red.es to participate in talent attraction and retention programs within Investment 4 of Component 19 of the Recovery, Transformation, and Resilience Plan (Grant Number MMT24- IIM-01)
15 pages, 2 tables, 5 figures
Peer reviewed
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 1 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
