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DIGITAL.CSIC
Conference object . 2025
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Probabilistic hazard analysis of active volcanoes based on energy partition

Authors: Guerrero, Alejandra; Tierz, P.; Burgos Delgado, Vanesa; Folch, Arnau;

Probabilistic hazard analysis of active volcanoes based on energy partition

Abstract

Assessing volcanic hazards requires a thorough comprehension of volcanic behavior and the implications of eruptive phenomena. Historically, the analysis of uncertainties related to the future eruptions has relied heavily on the study of previous events. This information is sourced from a combination of geological records, historical documentation, and geophysical monitoring. Nonetheless, the heterogeneous nature of this data introduces disparities, both in attributes and chronological completeness. Broad VEI ranges can occasionally misalign with the actual characteristics of an effusive or paroxysmal eruption, especially concerning volumes and column heights, potentially leading to inaccurate interpretations. This study introduces a fresh approach to volcanic hazard assessment by introducing the use of Energy Probability Density Functions (EPDFs). The methodological framework integrates a variety of datasets, such as GVP and LaMEVE, supported also by a comprehensive literature review. Primarily, it examines effusive volcanic phenomena in the Canary Islands within the paroxysmal activities of Mount Etna. In cases where data for specific volcanoes is absent or lacking, the model recommends employing EPDFs from volcanological analogous entities. By segmenting energy parameters into classifications based on lava and pyroclastic volumes, our approach aims to offer an innovative perspective on volcanic activities and their associated hazards, viewing volcanoes as energy systems

Country
Spain
Related Organizations
Keywords

volcanic hazards, Energy Probability Density Functions (EPDFs), Volcanology

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green