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Environmental Epidemiology
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48620/76...
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Temperature-mortality associations by age and cause: a multi-country multi-city study

Authors: Scovronick, Noah; Sera, Francesco; Vu, Bryan; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M; Roye, Dominic; Tobias, Aurelio; Seposo, Xerxes; +42 Authors

Temperature-mortality associations by age and cause: a multi-country multi-city study

Abstract

Background: Heterogeneity in temperature-mortality relationships across locations may partly result from differences in the demographic structure of populations and their cause-specific vulnerabilities. Here we conduct the largest epidemiological study to date on the association between ambient temperature and mortality by age and cause using data from 532 cities in 33 countries. Methods: We collected daily temperature and mortality data from each country. Mortality data was provided as daily death counts within age groups from all, cardiovascular, respiratory, or noncardiorespiratory causes. We first fit quasi-Poisson regression models to estimate location-specific associations for each age-by-cause group. For each cause, we then pooled location-specific results in a dose-response multivariate meta-regression model that enabled us to estimate overall temperature-mortality curves at any age. The age analysis was limited to adults. Results: We observed high temperature effects on mortality from both cardiovascular and respiratory causes compared to noncardiorespiratory causes, with the highest cold-related risks from cardiovascular causes and the highest heat-related risks from respiratory causes. Risks generally increased with age, a pattern most consistent for cold and for nonrespiratory causes. For every cause group, risks at both temperature extremes were strongest at the oldest age (age 85 years). Excess mortality fractions were highest for cold at the oldest ages. Conclusions: There is a differential pattern of risk associated with heat and cold by cause and age; cardiorespiratory causes show stronger effects than noncardiorespiratory causes, and older adults have higher risks than younger adults.

Countries
Italy, Sweden, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Czech Republic
Keywords

Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, vulnerability, health, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa och socialmedicin, Occupational Health and Environmental Health, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3, Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine, heat-related mortality, cold, Temperature-mortality, burden, Arbetsmedicin och miljömedicin, stress, weather, temperature, mortality, ageing, climate change, impact, waves, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13, Original Research Article, Mortality, ambient-temperature, Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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