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Environmental Epidemiology
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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PubMed Central
Article . 2024
License: CC BY
Data sources: PubMed Central
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DIGITAL.CSIC
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: DIGITAL.CSIC
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Association between precipitation and mortality due to diarrheal diseases by climate zone: A multi-country modeling study

Authors: Paul L. C. Chua; Aurelio Tobias; Lina Madaniyazi; Chris Fook Sheng Ng; Vera Ling Hui Phung; Sze Hang Fu; Peter S. Rodriguez; +14 Authors

Association between precipitation and mortality due to diarrheal diseases by climate zone: A multi-country modeling study

Abstract

Background: Precipitation could affect the transmission of diarrheal diseases. The diverse precipitation patterns across different climates might influence the degree of diarrheal risk from precipitation. This study determined the associations between precipitation and diarrheal mortality in tropical, temperate, and arid climate regions. Methods: Daily counts of diarrheal mortality and 28-day cumulative precipitation from 1997 to 2019 were analyzed across 29 locations in eight middle-income countries (Argentina, Brazil, Costa Rica, India, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, and Thailand). A two-stage approach was employed: the first stage is conditional Poisson regression models for each location, and the second stage is meta-analysis for pooling location-specific coefficients by climate zone. Results: In tropical climates, higher precipitation increases the risk of diarrheal mortality. Under extremely wet conditions (95th percentile of 28-day cumulative precipitation), diarrheal mortality increased by 17.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.4%, 25.7%) compared with minimum-risk precipitation. For temperate and arid climates, diarrheal mortality increases in both dry and wet conditions. In extremely dry conditions (fifth percentile of 28-day cumulative precipitation), diarrheal mortality risk increases by 3.8% (95% CI = 1.2%, 6.5%) for temperate and 5.5% (95% CI = 1.0%, 10.2%) for arid climates. Similarly, under extremely wet conditions, diarrheal mortality risk increases by 2.5% (95% CI = −0.1%, 5.1%) for temperate and 4.1% (95% CI = 1.1%, 7.3%) for arid climates. Conclusions: Associations between precipitation and diarrheal mortality exhibit variations across different climate zones. It is crucial to consider climate-specific variations when generating global projections of future precipitation-related diarrheal mortality.

Country
Spain
Keywords

Diarrheal mortality, Meta-analysis, Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable, Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts, Poisson regression models, Precipitation, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/13, Original Research Article, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/11

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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