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DIGITAL.CSIC
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: DIGITAL.CSIC
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Journal of Environmental Management
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Probabilistic assessment of failure of infiltration structures under model and parametric uncertainty

Authors: Aronne Dell’Oca; Alberto Guadagnini; Monica Riva;

Probabilistic assessment of failure of infiltration structures under model and parametric uncertainty

Abstract

We focus on the quantification of the probability of failure (PF) of an infiltration structure, of the kind that is typically employed for the implementation of low impact development strategies in urban settings. Our approach embeds various sources of uncertainty. These include (a) the mathematical models rendering key hydrological traits of the system and the ensuing model parametrization as well as (b) design variables related to the drainage structure. As such, we leverage on a rigorous multi-model Global Sensitivity Analysis framework. We consider a collection of commonly used alternative models to represent our knowledge about the conceptualization of the system functioning. Each model is characterized by a set of uncertain parameters. As an original aspect, the sensitivity metrics we consider are related to a single- and a multi-model context. The former provides information about the relative importance that model parameters conditional to the choice of a given model can have on PF. The latter yields the importance that the selection of a given model has on PF and enables one to consider at the same time all of the alternative models analyzed. We demonstrate our approach through an exemplary application focused on the preliminary design phase of infiltration structures serving a region in the northern part of Italy. Results stemming from a multi-model context suggest that the contribution arising from the adoption of a given model is key to the quantification of the degree of importance associated with each uncertain parameter.

Country
Spain
Keywords

Probability of failure, Uncertainty, http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3, Models, Theoretical, Infiltration structure, Global sensitivity analysis, Italy, Uncertainty quantification, Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages, Multi-model context, Probability

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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