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From networked SIS model to the Gompertz function

Authors: Estrada, Ernesto; Bartesaghi, Paolo;

From networked SIS model to the Gompertz function

Abstract

The Gompertz function is one of the most widely used models in the description of growth processes in many different fields. We obtain a networked version of the Gompertz function as a worst-case scenario for the exact solution to the SIS model on networks. This function is shown to be asymptotically equivalent to the classical scalar Gompertz function for sufficiently large times. It proves to be very effective both as an approximate solution of the networked SIS equation within a wide range of the parameters involved and as a fitting curve for the most diverse empirical data. As an instance, we perform some computational experiments, applying this function to the analysis of two real networks of sexual contacts. The numerical results highlight the analogies and the differences between the exact description provided by the SIS model and the upper bound solution proposed here, observing how the latter amplifies some empirically observed behaviors such as the presence of multiple and successive peaks in the contagion curve.

Countries
Spain, Italy
Keywords

Mathematics - Analysis of PDEs, Epidemiology, SIS Epidemiological Model; Gompertz Function;, FOS: Mathematics, Nonlinear ordinary differential equations and systems, Small world graphs, complex networks (graph-theoretic aspects), Dynamical systems in biology, Analysis of PDEs (math.AP)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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2
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42
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bronze