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O papel do sistema financeiro no crescimento económico da União Europeia: Estudo ênfase em indicadores financeiros

Authors: Rebelo, Ana Filipa Fontinha;

O papel do sistema financeiro no crescimento económico da União Europeia: Estudo ênfase em indicadores financeiros

Abstract

Este trabalho avalia o impacto do desenvolvimento financeiro no crescimento económico, através da análise de dados de painel. A análise abrange 20 países da União Europeia, na sua totalidade e por regiões, tais como, Europa Ocidental, Europa do Norte, Europa Oriental e da Europa Meridional, para o período compreendido entre o ano 2000 e 2015. Pretende-se concluir se existe uma relação positiva e significativa entre o desenvolvimento financeiro e o crescimento económico, nomeadamente, perceber se quanto maior for o desenvolvimento financeiro, maior será o crescimento económico. Perceber se, com um aumento dos indicadores financeiros selecionados, o PIB per capita aumenta ou não. Para medir o desenvolvimento do sector financeiro usou-se o crédito privado em percentagem do PIB (%), o volume de prémio de seguro de vida em percentagem do PIB (%) e os passivos líquidos em percentagem do PIB (%) ou agregado M3. Os resultados obtidos demonstram que as variáveis financeiras crédito privado e passivos líquidos, ambas em percentagem do PIB, contribuem positivamente e significativamente para o crescimento económico. Já a variável volume de prémio de seguro de vida em percentagem do PIB, mostrou-se não ser relevante para este estudo.

This paper assesses the impact of financial development on economic growth through panel data analysis. The analysis covers 20 countries of the European Union as a whole and by regions such as Western Europe, Northern Europe, Eastern Europe and Southern Europe for the period 2000 to 2015. It is intended to conclude whether there is a positive and significant relationship between financial development and economic growth, namely to understand if the greater the financial development, the greater the economic growth. Realize whether or not, with an increase in selected financial indicators, GDP per capita increases. To measure the development of the financial sector, private credit by deposit money banks to GDP (%), life insurance premium volume to GDP (%) and net liabilities to GDP (%) or aggregate M3. The results show that the financial variables private credit by deposit money banks to GDP (%) and net liabilities or aggregate M3 to GDP (%), contribute positively and significantly to economic growth. Already variable of life insurance premium volume to GDP proved to be not relevant for this study.

Country
Portugal
Keywords

Análise empírica -- Empirical analysis, Financial development, Crescimento económico -- Economic growth, Indicadores de desenvolvimento, Panel data models, O Economic development, innovation, technological change, and growth, Modelos com painéis de dados, O47, G Financial economics, :Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão [Domínio/Área Científica], C Mathematical and quantitative methods, Desenvolvimento financeiro, Domínio/Área Científica::Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão, Sistema financeiro, União Europeia, Dados em painel, G10, European Union, PIB Produto Interno Bruto, C33

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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