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La expansión del comercio exterior y de la actividad productiva

Authors: García Martos, María Dolores; Espasa, Antoni; Martínez, J. Manuel;

La expansión del comercio exterior y de la actividad productiva

Abstract

En 1997, la actividad económica siguió una pauta claramente expansiva. Según los datos de la Contabilidad Nacional Trimestral, publicada por el !NE, el PIB creció un 3,4%, en términos reales, consecuencia del favorable comportamiento de la demanda interna, que contribuyó con 2, 7 puntos, y de la evolución de la demanda externa neta que aportó O, 7 puntos. Al respecto, tanto las importaciones como las exportaciones de bienes y servicios aceleraron sus crecimientos en 1997, aunque de forma más intensa en el primer caso, lo que dio lugar a que en el cuarto trimestre, la contribución del sector exterior fuese negativa, por primera vez desde finales de 1995. Para 1998 se espera que las importaciones continúen acelerándose, aunque con menor intensidad, previéndose una tasa anual media del 12%, en términos reales. Por su parte, las exportaciones presentarán un dinamismo ligeramente menor al de 1997, pudiéndose cerrar 1998 con una tasa del 11, 7%, en pesetas constantes. Como consecuencia de lo anterior, la aportación del sector al crecimiento del PIB será negativa, en torno a 0,3 puntos. Además, se espera alcanzar un saldo por cuenta corriente en torno a 320 mrd de pesetas, lo que junto con un favorable comportamiento del saldo por cuenta corriente, permitirá alcanzar un saldo por cuenta corriente y de capital que se situará alrededor del 1,3% del PIB.

Keywords

Macroeconomía, Previsiones económicas, Economía

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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