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https://dx.doi.org/10.7916/v5e...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
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Exploring the Timescales and Mechanisms of Polar Amplification

Authors: Janoski, Tyler Paul;

Exploring the Timescales and Mechanisms of Polar Amplification

Abstract

Polar amplification (PA), defined as the enhanced warming of the polar region relative to the global average, is a robust feature of historical observations and simulations of future climate. Because PA has yet to be realized in the Antarctic, I mainly focus on Arctic amplification (AA). Despite the far-reaching consequences of Arctic warming and sea ice loss, the causes of AA and their relative importance remain contested. This dissertation highlights some of the most important AA-producing mechanisms by analyzing the different timescales over which AA develops following an increase in CO₂ in climate model simulations. First, an Arctic and global average energy budget analysis is derived for a collection of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project version 5 (CMIP5) models subjected to an instantaneous quadrupling of CO₂ (4xCO₂). I quantify the relative contributions of various AA mechanisms using radiative kernels for 150 years after 4xCO₂ and compare mechanisms important at the beginning of the simulations against those when the models are in a quasi-equilibrium state. To focus on the fast timescales of AA, a new ensemble of Community Earth System Model (CESM) simulations was generated to observe the development of AA on ultrafast timescales (< 1 month) and to investigate the impact of the season in which CO₂ is increased. Finally, AA mechanisms and their seasonality are compared to those acting to produce Antarctic amplification (AnA). Motivated by this analysis, a new Python package called ClimKern was developed to simplify feedback calculations using radiative kernels and intercompare results based on different kernels. This work shows that AA occurs on incredibly fast timescales following CO₂ forcing, developing within three months in CMIP5 models and on the order of days in the CESM simulations in which CO₂ increases in January. The feedbacks important for AA immediately following CO₂ increase are not the same as those important decades afterward, demonstrating a strong time dependence of AA mechanism ...

Country
United States
Keywords

Carbon dioxide, 550, Atmosphere, Global warming, Sea ice, Climatic changes, Oceanography, 551

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green