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Acta Physica Sinica
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Acta Physica Sinica
Article
License: CC BY
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Study on the mean absolute growth of model error for chaos system

Authors: null Yang Jin-Hui; null Song Jun-Qiang;

Study on the mean absolute growth of model error for chaos system

Abstract

Mean absolute growth of model error which is used to describe the initial error growth for chaos system, is employed in this paper to investigate the model error growth, and some meaningful conclusions are drew from it. It is found that the mean absolute growth of model error is initially exponential with a growth rate which has no direct relationship with the largest Lyapunov exponent. Afterwards model error growth enters into a nonlinear phase with a decreasing growth rate, and finally reaches a saturation value. If the difference between the attractor of real system and that of the model system is very small, the model error saturation level is consistent with the initial error saturation level of real system. With these conclusions one can obtain the predictability limit of a model easily, which is meaningful for weather prediction models. Also the predictability limit of model can be used for model comparison. The exacter model has a higher predictability limit which is useful for new model development.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold