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Revista de Economia Mackenzie
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Revista de Economia Mackenzie
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Revista de Economia Mackenzie
Article . 2020
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CURVA IS, CURVA DE PHILLIPS E REGRA DE TAYLOR: UMA ANÁLISE INTEGRADA DA ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA

Authors: Hudson Prestes dos Santos; Wilhelm Eduard Milward de Azevedo Meiners; Leonardo Köppe Malanski;

CURVA IS, CURVA DE PHILLIPS E REGRA DE TAYLOR: UMA ANÁLISE INTEGRADA DA ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA

Abstract

O propósito deste trabalho é compreender a utilização de modelos de consistência macroeconômica por meio das variáveis: taxa de inflação, taxa de câmbio, desemprego, hiato do produto e taxa de juros. Através de dados secundários analisou-se o comportamento das variáveis entre os anos 1999 e 2015. Por meio da série temporal construída e através do método dos Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários estimou-se funções tratadas no modelo de consistência macroeconômica. Os resultados mostraram que a taxa de juros é uma variável de grande influência sobre o comportamento da economia brasileira. Foi encontrada uma relação negativa entre o hiato do produto e a taxa de juros. Mostrou-se, também, que a taxa de juros é capaz de reduzir a inflação em direção à meta estabelecida anteriormente. Ainda, foi possível evidenciar a existência de uma inflação inercial como sendo característica das pressões inflacionárias que o país presenciou durante o período em análise.

Keywords

inflação inercial, Economics as a science, Economic history and conditions, regime de metas de inflação, taxa de juros, HC10-1085, consistência macroeconômica, HB71-74, hiato do produto

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold