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The Volatility Relationship Among Financial Assets: TVP-VAR Model

Authors: Burhan ERDOĞAN;

The Volatility Relationship Among Financial Assets: TVP-VAR Model

Abstract

In the post-pandemic period, intense fluctuations in interest rates, inflation, and prices were observed in many countries around the world. This study was conducted to analyze the dynamic interconnectedness between financial assets during this turbulent period. The study was conducted using TVP-VAR analysis on daily data of one-month deposit interest rate, BIST100 index return, two-year bond interest rate, USDTRY exchange rate, gold ounce price and CDS premiums between 2018 and 2023. The results of the study show that the interaction between variables reached a very high level especially in the post-pandemic period and then decreased over the years. On the other hand, the BIST100 index, gold and CDS premium are net shock emitters, while deposits, USDTRY and bonds are net shock receivers. It is aimed that the results obtained will enable investors to choose the right investment instrument in today's financial markets where prices, returns, and rates fluctuate, and on the other hand, it is aimed to benefit firms and policymakers in terms of macro problems in the current geography.

Country
Turkey
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Keywords

Finans, Finans;Oynaklık;TVP-VAR, TVP-VAR, Volatility, Finance;Volatility;TVP-VAR, Finance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold