
handle: 10419/278183
Product lotteries are a sales strategy where companies hide features of differentiated products from consumers until the purchase is complete. I identify loss aversion as an important factor explaining the existence of vertical product lotteries. I consider a profit-maximizing monopolist serving loss-averse consumers with rational expectations about the lottery. I find that the optimal strategy consists of offering a premium product with high and deterministic quality and a lottery with stochastic and lower expected quality. When consumers are reasonably loss averse, I show that the profit increase from adding a quality lottery exceeds 10% compared to the case without a lottery.
D81, L12, Probabilistic selling, Loss aversion, Product lotteries, ddc:330, Reference-dependent preferences, D91, D42
D81, L12, Probabilistic selling, Loss aversion, Product lotteries, ddc:330, Reference-dependent preferences, D91, D42
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