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Revista Mexicana de Estudios Electorales
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Conteo rápido electoral con dependencias probabilísticas

Authors: Arturo Erdely Ruiz;

Conteo rápido electoral con dependencias probabilísticas

Abstract

Un conteo rápido electoral es un procedimiento estadístico cuyo principal objetivo es obtener una muestra representativa del total de casillas electorales, y medir la incertidumbre respecto al resultado final, antes de los cómputos distritales. Por lo general, se prefiere un muestreo aleatorio estratificado para reducir la variabilidad de las estimaciones. El presente trabajo demuestra que la dependencia entre estratos y entre candidatos debe ser tomada en cuenta para las inferencias estadísticas que se realicen. Se propone un modelo basado en funciones cópula, y se aplica a datos de las elecciones presidenciales en México de los años 2006, 2012 y 2018.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold