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The effects of fiscal institutions on fiscal adjustments

Authors: Christos Chrysanthakopoulos; Athanasios Tagkalakis;

The effects of fiscal institutions on fiscal adjustments

Abstract

Using a panel of 40 advanced economies over the period 1990-2020 this paper investigates the effect of various characteristics of fiscal councils and fiscal rules on the probability of starting a fiscal adjustment, as well as on the probability that this fiscal adjustment will be successful. The relevance of fiscal institutions’ characteristics is verified when considering alternative definitions of successful fiscal adjustments. Our results are robust after controlling for endogeneity of fiscal institutions’ characteristics (by the Augmented Inverse Probability Weighted estimator) with fiscal adjustments. We find that a fiscal rule with well specified escape clause, that has multi-year expenditure ceilings and excludes public investment can induce a successful fiscal adjustment. A fiscal council with enhanced remit, independence and accountability and extended tasks and instruments increase the probability of successful fiscal adjustments. Finally, we find that a fiscal council with extended tasks and instruments increase the probability of successful fiscal adjustments based on spending cuts.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
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