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Part of book or chapter of book . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
ZENODO
Part of book or chapter of book . 2026
License: CC BY
Data sources: Datacite
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Spatio-Temporal Graph Multi-Agent Modelling for Urban Carbon Flux in GeoAI-Enabled Digital Twins

Authors: Kodela, Kalyan Chakravarthy; Roy, Stabak; Ghorbanzadeh, Shaghayegh; Ana-Maria, Ciobotaru; MITRA, SAPTARSHI;

Spatio-Temporal Graph Multi-Agent Modelling for Urban Carbon Flux in GeoAI-Enabled Digital Twins

Abstract

Urban carbon flux estimation remains a critical challenge for net-zero planning, as conventional process-based models fail to capture the dynamic, multi-scale interactions between human decisions and physical systems. We propose the Spatio-Temporal Graph Multi-Agent Carbon Flux Model (STG-MACFM). This learning-driven framework replaces static emission inventories with a hierarchical agent architecture embedded within a GeoAI-enabled digital twin. The model decomposes the urban domain into numerous localised agents, each representing a building or neighbourhood unit. These agents maintain local states derived from real-time energy consumption, meteorological data, and building geometry, and they learn optimal intervention policies through proximal policy optimisation. A temporal attention mechanism within each agent captures delayed feedback loops, such as the thermal inertia of building materials or lagged occupant responses to policy changes. A global coordinator then constructs a dynamic urban topology graph using a graph attention network, where edge weights encode spatiotemporal dependencies like wind-driven CO₂ dispersion or shared grid constraints. This coordinator aggregates local states through a graph convolutional network to produce city-wide strategies, including carbon pricing rates or district heating setpoints. The global policy is optimised via a multi-agent deep deterministic policy gradient variant, with a reward function that penalises both total emissions and spatial inequity. The proposed model integrates seamlessly with existing data layers and simulation modules, replacing static emission factors with context-aware, real-time values. Furthermore, the closed-loop coupling between local agent behaviours and global strategic interventions enables the digital twin to simulate complex cross-scale socio-environmental interactions with high fidelity. This work introduces a novel paradigm for urban carbon modelling, where adaptive, graph-based coordination replaces rigid, top-down estimation, thereby offering a more realistic foundation for net-zero scenario optimisation.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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