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Volatilite Endeksi (VIX) ve Kırılgan Beşli Ülkelerin Borsa Endeksleri Arasında Volatilite Etkileşimi

Authors: Melih KUTLU; Diler TÜRKOĞLU;

Volatilite Endeksi (VIX) ve Kırılgan Beşli Ülkelerin Borsa Endeksleri Arasında Volatilite Etkileşimi

Abstract

Bu çalışmada kırılgan beşli ülkeler ile VIX endeksi arasında asimetrik getiri ve volatilite yayılımı araştırılmıştır. Kırılgan ülkelerin kırılganlıkları makroekonomik faktörler nedeniyle oluşmaktadır ve bu örtük volatiliteye neden olmaktadır. Örtük volatilite yatırımcı duyarlılığını ve gelecekteki nakit akışlarını yansıttığı için makroekonomik şoklardan ve temettü politikalarından etkilenmektedir. BİST 100 (Türkiye), BOVESPA-BVSP (Brezilya), IDX (Endonezya), JSE(Güney Afrika), NIFTY50(Hindistan) ve VIX endekslerinin 2014 ve 2021 tarihleri arası haftalık kapanış verileri DCC GARCH yöntemi ile test edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre VIX ile IDX endeksi hariç diğer endeksler arası kısa ve uzun dönemli etkileşim mevcuttur VIX’deki değişime karşı endekslerin gösterdiği reaksiyon açısından en çok etkilenen IDX endeksidir. BİST 100 hem geçmiş volatilite hem de VIX’den gelen volatilite etkileşimi noktasından kırılgan ülkeler arasından en az etkilenendir.

Country
Turkey
Keywords

Volatilite Etkileşimi, Volatility Interaction;Fragile Five Countrie;VIX, İşletme, Kırılgan Beşli Ülkeler VIX, VIX, Volatilite Etkileşimi;Kırılgan Beşli Ülkeler VIX;VIX, Business Administration, Volatility Interaction, Fragile Five Countrie

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold