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Deniz Taşımacılığı ve Lojistiği Dergisi
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Container Cargo Demand Forecast for Gemlik Bay Ports

Authors: Burhan KAYIRAN; Ömür SAATÇİOĞLU;

Container Cargo Demand Forecast for Gemlik Bay Ports

Abstract

A large part of world trade is carried out by maritime transport. In addition, ports are the only gates of maritime transport to international trade. In this sense, capacity and demand planning for ports, which are an important node of maritime transport, is necessary for both port operators and other logistics enterprises such as maritime trade fleets, foreign trade enterprises that are parties to international trade, intermediary institutions, third, fourth and fifth parties, and government institutions that It provides very important contributions in making efficiency analyzes and creating investment plans for. In this study, as stated above, container cargo demand forecasting analysis was carried out for the ports of Gemlik Bay, which is one of the important centers opened to foreign trade and located in the Marmara Region of the Republic of Turkey, in order to shed light on the capacity and investment plans for the port operators and other parties For this purpose, container handling data for the ports of Gemlik Bay between 2004-2021 were used as the dependent variable (estimate variable) and again for the same years, Turkey's gross national product data, import and export data, population amount and total container amount handled. were considered as independent variables and annual container handling data of Gemlik Bay ports have been forecasted until 2028 by multiple regression analysis method with 93,1% adjusted R square value.

Country
Turkey
Keywords

Demand forecast, Port, Denizcilik, Gemlik, Container

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green