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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2025
License: CC BY
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The Evolution of Alpha in Finance Harnessing Human Insight and LLM Agents

Authors: Islam, Mohammad Rubyet;

The Evolution of Alpha in Finance Harnessing Human Insight and LLM Agents

Abstract

The pursuit of alpha returns that exceed market benchmarks has undergone a profound transformation, evolving from intuition-driven investing to autonomous, AI powered systems. This paper introduces a comprehensive five stage taxonomy that traces this progression across manual strategies, statistical models, classical machine learning, deep learning, and agentic architectures powered by large language models (LLMs). Unlike prior surveys focused narrowly on modeling techniques, this review adopts a system level lens, integrating advances in representation learning, multimodal data fusion, and tool augmented LLM agents. The strategic shift from static predictors to contextaware financial agents capable of real time reasoning, scenario simulation, and cross modal decision making is emphasized. Key challenges in interpretability, data fragility, governance, and regulatory compliance areas critical to production deployment are examined. The proposed taxonomy offers a unified framework for evaluating maturity, aligning infrastructure, and guiding the responsible development of next generation alpha systems.

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, FOS: Economics and business, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Quantitative Finance - Computational Finance, I.5.1, I.2.6, I.2.7, Computational Finance (q-fin.CP), I.2.6; I.5.1; I.2.7, 91G70 Statistical methods, risk measures 91B84 Economic models (financial models, industrial models, growth models), Machine Learning (cs.LG)

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green