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Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Compartment models for vaccine effectiveness and non-specific effects for Tuberculosis

Compartment models for vaccine effectiveness and non-specific effects for tuberculosis
Authors: Sarah Treibert; Helmut Brunner; Matthias Ehrhardt;

Compartment models for vaccine effectiveness and non-specific effects for Tuberculosis

Abstract

In this paper, we attempt to set a framework of conditions for model-specific predictions of newly arising TB epidemics by e.g. immigration of infected persons from high prevalence countries. In addition, we address the aspect of trained immunity in our model. Using a mathematical approach of a system of ordinary differential equations which can be developed over several time-points we obtained varying infection or attack rates that led to different effects of the vaccination, depending on the setting of certain parameters and starting values in the compartments of a SEIR-model. We finally obtained different graphs of disease progression and were able to outline which upgrades and expansions our system requires in order to be exact and well adapted for predicting the course of future TB outbreaks. The model might also be beneficial in predicting non-specific effects of vaccines.

Keywords

Adult, Male, Time Factors, Adolescent, SEIR model, trained immunity, Immunogenicity, Vaccine, Germany, QA1-939, Humans, Tuberculosis, Guinea-Bissau, Child, South Sudan, Medical epidemiology, ode system, Models, Statistical, Immunization Programs, compartment models, seir model, Infant, Newborn, Infant, Middle Aged, vaccination, Immunity, Innate, ODE system, tuberculosis, Child, Preschool, non-specific effects, BCG Vaccine, Female, TP248.13-248.65, Mathematics, Biotechnology

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
11
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
gold