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Recherches économiques de Louvain
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
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Recherches économiques de Louvain
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
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Real exchange rates and real interest rates : a nonlinear perspective

Authors: Bec, Frédérique; Ben Salem, Mélika; Macdonald, Ronald;

Real exchange rates and real interest rates : a nonlinear perspective

Abstract

SummaryIn this paper we use a Threshold AutoRegressive (TAR) model to capture the nonlinear dynamics of monthly real effective exchange rate data for the G7 countries. The novelty of our approach relates to the use of the real interest differential as the switching variable. This choice allows us to consider jointly the nonlinearity and nonstationarity issues using recent advances in asymptotic theory. We find that the null of linearity is easily rejected against the nonlinear model for all currencies considered. Further, for five out of the seven countries, where the null of unit root is rejected, we report evidence of quite rapid mean reversion.

Country
France
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Keywords

Real exchange rate, threshold autoregressive model, unit-root, [QFIN] Quantitative Finance [q-fin], jel: jel:F41, jel: jel:C22

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
bronze
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