Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

The Information Content of Real Estate Derivative Prices

Authors: Bond, Shaun A.; Mitchell, Paul;

The Information Content of Real Estate Derivative Prices

Abstract

The objective of this research was to assess whether forward returns implied by real estate derivative prices provide a more accurate measure of future real estate returns than a consensus forecast of industry experts. Implied returns derived from real estate derivative prices are often used by industry participants as forecasts of future returns, even though the theoretical justification for this is limited. Bond and Mitchell’s analysis suggests that since the introduction of real estate derivatives in the U.K., real estate derivatives prices have provided a better indication of future returns than a consensus forecast. But most of this apparent superior performance can be attributed to publication delays with the consensus forecasts. When adjusted for publication delay, the information content of real estate derivatives is shown to be remarkably similar to the consensus forecasts. The authors also caution that as the market for real estate derivatives develops, a greater divergence may emerge between market forecasts and real estate derivatives prices.

Country
Australia
Keywords

Economics and Econometrics, General Business, Accounting, Management and Accounting, General Business, Management and Accounting, Finance

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    7
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!