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The Equity Premium Puzzle and the Federal Reserve’s Stock Valuation Model

Authors: Stephanie Yates Rauterkus; Andreas Rauterkus; Theodore Bos;

The Equity Premium Puzzle and the Federal Reserve’s Stock Valuation Model

Abstract

We test a model to estimate the equity risk premium based on a stock valuation model suggested by former Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan. The model suggests that the stock market is fairly priced when the price of the market portfolio is equal to the ratio between market earnings and the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond. From this stock valuation model and extensions to it, we derive an equation for the expected market risk premium. Ex post we find that a model which accounts for corporate bond yields and the inherent differences between common stocks and Treasury bonds (most notably risk) provides a good estimate of the equity risk premium.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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